The Precedent

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Oscar Predictions 2018

Sit down with staffers Lauren & Mia as they select their picks for the Oscars

Lady Bird Poster

Lady Bird Poster

Lady Bird Poster


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Best Picture:

“Call Me by Your Name”

“Darkest Hour”


“Get Out”

“Lady Bird”

“Phantom Thread”

“The Post”

“The Shape of Water”

“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

Lead Actor:

Timothée Chalamet, “Call Me by Your Name”

Daniel Day-Lewis, “Phantom Thread”

Daniel Kaluuya, “Get Out”

Gary Oldman, “Darkest Hour”

Denzel Washington, “Roman J. Israel, Esq.”

Lead Actress:

Sally Hawkins, “The Shape of Water”

Frances McDormand, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

Margot Robbie, “I, Tonya”

Saoirse Ronan, “Lady Bird”

Meryl Streep, “The Post”

Supporting Actor:

Willem Dafoe, “The Florida Project”

Woody Harrelson, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

Richard Jenkins, “The Shape of Water”

Christopher Plummer, “All the Money in the World”

Sam Rockwell, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

Supporting Actress:

Mary J. Blige, “Mudbound”

Allison Janney, “I, Tonya”

Lesley Manville, “Phantom Thread”

Laurie Metcalf, “Lady Bird”

Octavia Spencer, “The Shape of Water”


Timothée Chalamet, “Call Me by Your Name”

Timothée Chalamet has made quite a name for himself over the past year, starring in two Oscar-nominated best pictures, “Lady Bird” and “Call Me By Your Name.” At 22, Chalamet is the youngest actor nominated since 1944, yet his performance as the lovelorn Italian-American teen brings perfect complexity to a character made for the nostalgic Italian summer in which he finds himself. Chalamet tackles a role that even the most seasoned actor could fail to do justice, all while fluidly transitioning between English, Italian, and French throughout the film.


Laurie Metcalf, “Lady Bird”

2017 was the year of female leads and the strong relationships we share. In “Lady Bird,” Laurie Metcalf stuns as the titular character’s passive-aggressive mother, never showing her daughter much affection, but loving her fiercely nonetheless. A mother figure we can all recognize, Metcalf matches every snide comment by Saoirse Ronan’s Christine with her own snarky response. Metcalf is heartfelt when needed, witty when least expected, and truthful throughout, breathing life into a matron we all know and aspire to be. Metcalf’s character is a testament to the selfless love a mother gives to her daughter, a love we often forget to appreciate.


“Lady Bird”

In Greta Gerwig’s solo directorial debut, “Lady Bird,” we find the story of a mother and a daughter and their constantly at-odds personalities. While simultaneously a love letter to Gerwig’s native Sacramento, the brilliance of “Lady Bird” was in its honesty. Gerwig captures the mother-daughter dynamic effortlessly and with such poignancy that their heated banter is both humorous and all too familiar to any girl’s teen years. “Lady Bird” blends a quirky landscape and journey with reminders of the sacrifices people make for us and those who support us unapologetically.


Christopher Plummer, “All the Money in the World”

Timothée Chalamet may be the youngest actor nominated, but Christopher Plummer, 88, is the oldest acting nominee in Oscar history. At the time of casting, two names were considered for the lead of J. Paul Getty: Kevin Spacey and Christopher Plummer. After the allegations broke and Plummer was cast to replace Spacey, the looming release date stayed, and over four hundred scenes were reshot in a period of nine days. This total change has no effect on the film, as Plummer plays every bit the hard and biting J. Paul Getty.


Saoirse Ronan, “Lady Bird”

Saoirse Ronan began her career in 2007, with her prestige and popularity only multiplying as the years went on. Her 2015 drama “Brooklyn” earned her an Academy Award nomination, and only two years later she took to the big screen, earning a Golden Globe for her role in “Lady Bird.” The appeal to her unique odyssey is that love does not play the main role. Her coming of age is defined by her self-assuredness, sending a positive message to girls watching.


People who deserved better:

Michelle Williams: An unproblematic humanitarian angel  

Edgar Wright: A screenwriting and musical genius

Michael Stahlberg: The ending monologue is life changing

Tracy Letts: His kind portrayal left us all fulfilled and hopeful


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Oscar Predictions 2018